Market Outlook & Global Cues – Today’s View

🌍 Global Market Snapshot Global markets are witnessing heightened volatility amid geopolitical tensions and uncertainty in the US. US index futures declined sharply after reports of a criminal investigation involving the Federal Reserve Chair, creating caution across global equities. Protests in Iran and rising geopolitical risks are also adding pressure. Asian markets opened on a positive note, supported by encouraging US jobs data. Australia, South Korea, and Hong Kong markets traded higher, while Japan remained closed for the day. European markets closed at record highs, led by strong manufacturing data and rising base metal prices. 🇮🇳 Indian Market Outlook Indian equity markets are expected to open flat to mildly positive, with mixed global cues and continued FII selling weighing on sentiment. Rising crude oil prices, uncertainty around the US–India trade deal, and upcoming inflation data are keeping investors cautious. However, strong domestic fundamentals such as record SIP inflows, encouraging quarterly business updates, and expectations from Q3 earnings season may provide support at lower levels. The recent market correction is increasingly being viewed as a buy-on-dips opportunity for long-term investors. 🧭 Key Factors to Watch Today Rising Brent crude prices near one-month highs Domestic inflation (CPI) data Q3 earnings from major IT companies FII & DII activity Global geopolitical developments 📌 Sector-wise Outlook 💻 IT Sector Momentum is expected ahead of quarterly results from large IT companies. Stock-specific action likely based on earnings performance and outlook commentary. 🛡 Defence Sector Positive bias continues as expectations build around higher defence allocations in the upcoming Union Budget amid geopolitical tensions. 🏗 Metal Sector Strong outlook due to rising global base metal prices. Aluminium is at multi-year highs, copper is near record levels, and precious metals (gold & silver) are trading close to all-time highs. 🏦 Banking & Financials Selective buying expected ahead of earnings from major private banks. Volatility may remain but stock-specific action likely. 🛢 Upstream Oil & Energy Positive sentiment supported by rising crude prices amid supply concerns from the Middle East. 📉 Technical View Nifty 50 Trend: Bearish (Lower High – Lower Low) Resistance: 25,800 – 25,950 Support: 25,500 → 25,400 Below 25,950, further weakness cannot be ruled out. Bank Nifty Trend remains weak below 59,500 Support: 59,000 → 58,570 Resistance: 59,500 → 59,750 📈 Derivatives & Market Positioning Put/Call Ratio has declined, indicating cautious sentiment Options data suggests a broader trading range with high volatility FIIs remain net sellers, while DIIs continue to support the market 🏢 Corporate & Sectoral Highlights (Theme-based) Retail & Consumption: Strong quarterly performance reported Hospitality & Tourism: Strategic investments and asset-light expansion plans NBFCs & Finance: Rating outlook improvements and regulatory clarity positive for long term Capital Markets: Sector in focus after regulatory commentary on upcoming IPO approvals Energy & Infrastructure: New orders, capacity expansion, and green energy investments continue 🏆 Overall Market View Volatility is likely to persist in the near term due to global uncertainties and technical weakness. However, strong domestic fundamentals, earnings season, and consistent retail participation through SIPs continue to support long-term market prospects. Traders should remain cautious, while long-term investors may look at quality sectors on corrections. ⚠️ Disclaimer This blog is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI registered advisors. The views expressed are based on publicly available market information and personal analysis. Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.